Expected Change in Business Situation and Net Balance of Domestic Demand (2016–2026)

Diagram 2.6 : Business sentiment generally improved in recent quarters cautiously optimistic.The economy is expected to expand by 2.5% to 3.5% in 2026, after growing by 3.5% in 2025. This outlook is broadly consistent with prevailing projections by market participants and international institutions. For reference, the majority of recent forecasts by private sector analysts for Hong Kong's economic growth in 2026 range from 2.5% to 3.3%. Among the forecasts by international organisations, the more recent one by the Asian Development Bank, released in December 2025, forecast the Hong Kong Diagram 2.7 : Real GDP is forecast to grow by 2.5% to 3.5% in 2026 Note : (*) Mid-point of the range forecast.