德世国际航空咨询：2025-2035年全球航空MRO（维护、修理和大修）市场需求预测报告（英文版）（12页）.pdf

1、As a leading independent advisor to the aviation industry,Alton Aviation Consultancys annual commercial fleet forecast is globally recognized as the aviation communitys trusted data source.While the industry continues its recovery path and air traffic is almost back to pre-pandemic levels,it continu

2、es to grapple with supply chain disruptions and workforce shortages the MRO sector has also not been spared from these issues.Alton has recently updated its global commercial air transport fleet and MRO demand forecast to reflect these new dynamics,while incorporating near-term macroeconomic(e.g.int

3、erest rate cuts)and geopolitical challenges(e.g.continued Russia-Ukraine war,Middle Eastern unrest)that have put upward pressure on costs and demand.Our previous report focusing on fleet dynamics can be found here.This report details our global MRO demand forecast.IntroductionSteady Growth:Steady Gr

4、owth:2025-2035 MRO Demand Forecast2025-2035 MRO Demand ForecastPage 1Alton Aviation Consultancy April 2025 MethodologyAltons MRO demand forecast is developed using a bottom-up approach.Our fleet forecast forms the basis of our MRO forecast.The fleet forecast reviews the current fleet and projects fo

5、rward the future fleet based on a detailed analysis of the variations in airline operations,regions,aircraft types,age,and industry cyclicality.Alton determines the total global fleet by reflecting annual changes in firm order backlog,production rates,retirements,conversions,and inter-regional aircr

6、aft transfers.Given the potential uncertainties amid supply chain and geopolitical risks,Alton has rigorously debated and stress-tested assumptions that would form our 10-year MRO outlook.To develop the forecast,Alton layers on our flight hour and flight cycle utilization forecast to derive utilizat